Use case · Inventory commitment

Can we fund the next inventory order?

An order is affordable only if its payment schedule leaves enough cash for existing obligations and your chosen reserve. Check the lowest balance through the deposit and balance-payment dates, then test later receipts and the stock consequences before approval.

Check the order before paying the deposit.

Your supplier needs a commitment, but the money must also cover payroll, other orders and operating bills. Set out the quantity, deposit, balance date and the demand the stock is intended to cover.

Compare keeping the order, staging it or waiting. For each option, show both the cash low point and the stock coverage: a smaller deposit can shift pressure to the balance date, while a later order can create a shortage.

Put bank receipts and commitments on dates.

Begin with reconciled cash available at the forecast start. Identify restricted amounts, include unpaid bills and open orders, and record a source and owner for each assumption.

Check the bank receipt date for each expected payout. Shopify payout details help explain fees, refunds, chargebacks, adjustments and reserves; a payout sent to the bank can still be in transit.

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Records to check before approving the order.
InputEvidence to bringQuestion to resolve
Opening available cashBank balances and account reconciliations at the forecast startWhich accounts and restrictions are included?
Expected receiptsPayout activity, receivables and expected bank receipt datesWhat would arrive later if collections slow?
Existing commitmentsSupplier bills, open orders, payroll and other payment schedulesIs each deposit or balance already included?
Proposed purchase orderQuantity, unit cost, deposit, balance, freight and other agreed cash costsWhich terms are confirmed by the supplier?
Inventory requirementAvailable stock, incoming units, lead time and demand assumptionsWhat coverage or shortage would each order option create?
Decision constraintsChosen cash buffer, approval authority and uncertainty listWhat would trigger a smaller order or a new review?

The payment week exposes the cash constraint.

Example report · Demonstration data · Cash forecast and purchase-order timing.

The example forecast covers 5 October 2026 to 3 January 2027 and starts with $85,000. In week 6, beginning 9 November, opening cash is $82,000, receipts are $58,000, inventory payments are $67,000 and operating payments are $41,500.

$82,000 + $58,000 - $67,000 - $41,500 = $31,500 closing cash. The shortfall is $8,500 against the example's chosen $40,000 buffer. Closing cash recovers to $91,000 at the end of the plan, so the payment week is the point that needs attention.

Before committing more stock, check which payment can be changed and what delivery would depend on that change. The $67,000 inventory payment is already included in the base schedule; count it once.

AxisCFO / cash exampleExample

2026-10-05 – 2027-01-03 · USD

Plan for the lowest cash point.

Opening cash
$85,000
Lowest cash · week 6
$31,500
W6: $31,500Week 1Week 13

What to check

An inventory payment brings week 6 cash down to $31,500. Review purchase timing before committing.

Dashed line: an assumed $40,000 buffer. Forecast period shown above; separate from the monthly revenue report.

View the 13-week cash table

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Cash forecast example · 2026-10-05 – 2027-01-03 · USD
WeekOpening cashReceiptsInventory paymentsOperating paymentsClosing cash
Week 185,00054,00012,00040,00087,000
Week 287,00058,00018,00041,00086,000
Week 386,00062,00024,00042,00082,000
Week 482,00056,00015,00039,00084,000
Week 584,00060,00020,00042,00082,000
Week 682,00058,00067,00041,50031,500
Week 731,50070,00010,00044,00047,500
Week 847,50078,0008,00047,00070,500
Week 970,50074,00022,00046,00076,500
Week 1076,50066,00016,00044,00082,500
Week 1182,50064,00012,00043,00091,500
Week 1291,50048,0008,00038,00093,500
Week 1393,50046,00010,00038,50091,000

This forecast covers a different period from the monthly contribution report; reconcile profit with bank movements and working-capital changes for the same period.

Move the balance payment and compare the low points.

The example identifies an existing $70,000 order within the base payments: a $15,000 deposit in week 4 and a $55,000 balance in week 6. Move the same balance to week 8, removing the week-6 payment first. Keep the deposit, receipts and other payments unchanged.

The minimum weekly closing cash rises from $31,500 in week 6 to $70,500 in week 8. Both schedules pay $242,000 for inventory and close with $91,000. The benefit comes from moving the payment away from the tight week; the total commitment stays the same.

Ask the supplier whether those terms are available and check whether the delivery date changes. Then run a separate downside with later bank receipts. Show receipts expected beyond the horizon and extend the schedule for payments or stock arrivals outside it.

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Existing purchase-order timing comparison · 13 weeks: 5 October 2026–3 January 2027; weekly closing bank cash · USD
Week beginningBase inventory paymentTiming inventory paymentBase closing cashTiming closing cashChange in closing cash
Week 1 · 2026-10-05$12,000$12,000$87,000$87,000$0
Week 2 · 2026-10-12$18,000$18,000$86,000$86,000$0
Week 3 · 2026-10-19$24,000$24,000$82,000$82,000$0
Week 4 · 2026-10-26$15,000$15,000$84,000$84,000$0
Week 5 · 2026-11-02$20,000$20,000$82,000$82,000$0
Week 6 · 2026-11-09$67,000$12,000$31,500$86,500$55,000
Week 7 · 2026-11-16$10,000$10,000$47,500$102,500$55,000
Week 8 · 2026-11-23$8,000$63,000$70,500$70,500$0
Week 9 · 2026-11-30$22,000$22,000$76,500$76,500$0
Week 10 · 2026-12-07$16,000$16,000$82,500$82,500$0
Week 11 · 2026-12-14$12,000$12,000$91,500$91,500$0
Week 12 · 2026-12-21$8,000$8,000$93,500$93,500$0
Week 13 · 2026-12-28$10,000$10,000$91,000$91,000$0

The sample cash plan already includes a $70,000 PO: $15,000 deposit in week 4 and $55,000 balance in week 6. Week 6 also includes $12,000 for other stock. Move the balance to week 8 by replacing its original payment, while preserving the deposit and other commitments.

Both schedules pay $242,000 for inventory and close at $91,000. Minimum closing cash moves from $31,500 in week 6 to $70,500 in week 8. The $40,000 buffer is a comparison assumption.

The timing case assumes supplier agreement and unchanged delivery, stock availability, receipts and sales. Before approving a PO, test quantities, lead time, downside receipts and within-week cash using a dated payment schedule.

Choose between cash pressure and stock exposure.

Compare each option with the same opening cash, forecast horizon and receipts. Record changed terms and costs so the difference can be traced to the decision. Include any funding only after its costs, dates and approval are agreed.

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Three ways to change the commitment, with the constraint to check.
OptionWhat to compareConstraint to confirm
Keep the quantity and seek different payment datesThe cash low point after replacing the existing scheduleSupplier agreement, any price change and the eventual balance payment
Reduce or stage the orderCash committed now, later orders and stock coverageMinimum quantities, extra freight, lead time and possible lost sales
Defer the commitmentCash retained and the next feasible replenishment dateStockout exposure, supplier capacity and obligations already signed

Record what must change before the order is approved.

The base plan flags week 6 for review. Name the order or other payment to investigate, the supplier confirmation required and the latest date for the owner to decide.

  • Identify the order and version of the payment schedule used.
  • Record the lowest cash balance, its date and the selected buffer for the base and downside.
  • State the stock consequence and any costs missing from the scenario.
  • Mark supplier changes as proposed until confirmed.
  • Name the approval owner, the payment owner and the event or date for rechecking the plan.

Separate preparation, approval and payment.

The brand supplies stock requirements, supplier terms and operating commitments. The bookkeeper supplies reconciled balances and unpaid bills. Assign the cash comparison and its assumptions to the finance preparation owner, with a named reviewer to check the payment schedule.

The authorised brand decision maker approves quantity and terms. The payment owner executes the approved schedule and reports any change in dates for the next forecast update.

Bring the order deadline and payment schedule.

For the initial finance audit, identify the order, the deposit and balance dates, and the commitments already in your forecast. Note any missing supplier terms or uncertain receipt dates.

The first check is the cash low point and the stock consequence of changing the schedule. Use the planning service page to review the records and outputs; use Pricing to compare the work required for ongoing support.

Sources and calculation notes

  1. Shopify Help Center — Navigating your Shopify Payments payouts to resolve lower or missing payouts

    Payout status, transaction details and balance activity help distinguish platform deductions from bank receipt timing.

    Accessed 2026-10-07.

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